The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is The Brink's Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Brink's Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

The Brink's Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.73

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

The Brink's Co (NYSE:BCO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The Brink's Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » The Brink's Co (NYSE:BCO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PTY:Germany PTY:Germany

Address

1801 Bayberry Court, P.O. Box 18100, Richmond, VA, USA, 23226-8100

Website

https://www.brinks.com

The Brink's Co is a Global provider of secure logistics and security solutions for cash and other valuables. In 2020, the company acquired the U.K.-based G4S that reorganized its operating segments to be North America, Latin America, Europe, and Rest of World. It generates maximum revenue from the North America segment, namely from its core business of cash-in-transit and ATM services. The Latin America and Europe segments trail North America in revenue earnings with the Brinks Global Services line of business that specializes in the secure transportation of high-valued commodities, such as jewelry, precious metals, banknotes, and electronics. Brink's customer base includes financial institutions, retails, government agencies, mints, and other commercial businesses.

Executives

Arthelbert Louis Parker	director	THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY CT, 4TH FL, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Dominik Bossart	officer: SVP	1800 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Elizabeth A Galloway	officer: EVP and CHRO	AT HOME GROUP INC., 1600 EAST PLANO PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75074
Michael F Beech	officer: Executive Vice President	THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael J Herling	director	177 BROAD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Keith R Wyche	director	1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kurt B Mcmaken	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	THE BRINK'S COMANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Simon Davis	officer: SVP, CHRO	5757 N GREEN BAY AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Daniel J Castillo	officer: EVP	2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Susan E Docherty	director	THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kathie J. Andrade	director	6300 LAMAR AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66202
Rohan Pal	officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer	1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael E Sweeney	officer: Controller	C/O LIQUIDITY SERVICES, INC., 1920 L STREET, N.W., 6TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20036
Timothy Joseph Tynan	director	1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Lindsay K. Blackwood	officer: EVP & General Counsel	1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226